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  • Dec 22: Final Week Before Christmas, Why Smart Money Acts NOW 🎁

Dec 22: Final Week Before Christmas, Why Smart Money Acts NOW 🎁

Monday Gift: Rates Drop to 6.24% (Plus Your Year-End Power Moves)

🎅 The Lending Letter 🏡

Monday, December 22nd: Final Week Before Christmas—And A Monday Morning Gift 📉

Happy Monday! ☕ If you're reading this, you're either (a) procrastinating on your holiday shopping, (b) the only person at the office who actually showed up, or (c) actually serious about understanding mortgage rates even when everyone else has mentally checked out. Respect. 🫡

Here's your Monday surprise: rates actually ticked DOWN slightly. Right as we enter the final sprint before Christmas. When most lenders are operating with skeleton crews and markets are quieter than your in-laws' house after you bring up politics. Let's talk about what this means and why this week might be more strategic than you think.

📊 TODAY'S 30-YEAR FIXED RATE
6.24%
Down 0.01% from Friday | According to Mortgage News Daily | December 22, 2025

🎄 Monday Momentum: A Tiny Rate Drop During the Quietest Week

OK, so a 0.01% drop isn't exactly headline news. It's not like we're breaking out the champagne and calling your mom. But here's what IS interesting: rates moving down during Christmas week is like finding an extra $20 in your coat pocket—unexpected and oddly satisfying. 💸

According to Mortgage News Daily, we're sitting at 6.24% right now. That's actually the lowest we've seen since mid-last week, and it's giving some hope that maybe—just maybe—we might see some stability heading into the new year.

🤔 Why Christmas Week Matters More Than You Think

Most people think real estate grinds to a halt during Christmas week. Wrong. This is actually when serious buyers and sellers come out to play. The tire-kickers are gone, the tourists have left the market, and everyone still active is actually motivated. If you've been sitting on the fence about 2025 year-end opportunities, this week is your moment. ⏰

💰 Lender Promos: Your Year-End Power Play

🏠 Looking for Any Property Loan? Whether it's your primary, your vacation spot, or rental #5, lenders are hungry to close deals before New Year's Eve. Fill out this quick form and get matched with lenders who actually answer their phones during holiday week.

🏢 Investment Property Calling Your Name? Smart investors know December is negotiation season. Sellers who are still on the market? Motivated. Connect with investment specialists here who live for year-end deals.

🏖️ STR/Airbnb in Your 2026 Plans? Position yourself now for ski season and spring break revenue. Talk to STR experts here who understand seasonality better than you understand your own family's holiday drama.

📚 Education Break: The Real Cost of "Waiting for Better Rates"

Everyone's favorite topic. Let's do some actual math that'll make you think twice about sitting on the sidelines. 🧮

Scenario: You're eyeing a $400,000 home. You decide to wait for rates to drop from 6.24% to, let's say, 5.75% (a 0.49% reduction). That sounds smart, right?

💡 The Math Nobody Talks About

At 6.24%: Your monthly payment (P&I only) = $2,460
At 5.75%: Your monthly payment (P&I only) = $2,334
Monthly savings: $126

Sounds good! Except... what happens to home prices while you're waiting?

According to historical data from Zillow Research, when rates drop, buyer demand surges and prices typically rise 3-5% within 6 months. Let's be conservative and say 4%.

That $400,000 home is now $416,000.

At 5.75% on $416,000: Monthly payment = $2,427
Your "savings": $33/month (vs. buying today at 6.24%)

But wait, there's more! You also need an extra $16,000 down payment (20% of the price increase). And you missed out on 6+ months of appreciation. And someone else might have bought your perfect house. 🤦

The Real Play: Buy the right property at a fair price today. You can refinance later if rates drop significantly (and according to LendingTree's refinance calculator, it typically makes sense when rates drop 0.75% or more). But you can't go back in time to buy at today's prices. Ever. ⏰

🎁 For STR Investors: Your Christmas-to-New-Year Game Plan

If you're in the short-term rental game (or thinking about getting in), this final stretch of 2025 is actually strategic genius timing. Here's why: 🧠

1. Ski Season is LIVE Right Now
Mountain markets from Colorado to Vermont to Tahoe are printing money right now. Christmas week and New Year's week? Those are $300-$500+ per night weeks in good locations. If you close on a property in January and get it furnished by February, you're positioned for the tail end of ski season and then spring break. Connect with STR lenders here who understand seasonal cash flow modeling. 🎿

2. Warm Weather Markets Never Sleep
Florida, Arizona, Southern California—these markets are crushing it right now with snowbird season in full effect. According to AirDNA market data, occupancy rates in prime warm-weather STR markets are running 75-85% through March. That's real cash flow, friends. ☀️

3. Tax Accelerators Before Year-End
This is where it gets spicy. If you already own STRs, you have exactly 9 days to make moves that could save you serious tax money:

  • Cost Segregation:Get a study done before year-end and potentially accelerate 20-40% of your property's value into immediate deductions. We're talking $30k-$80k in first-year write-offs on a $400k property. Do the math. 📊
  • Furnishings & Upgrades: Need to furnish or upgrade that STR? 0% interest financing is available, and if you close before December 31st, you can write off up to $2,890 per item under Section 179. That hot tub, that high-end mattress, that espresso machine—all potentially deductible this year. 🛁

⚡ Time-Sensitive Monday Action: If you're serious about any of these year-end STR moves, this week is when you need to act. Most companies aren't processing new applications December 24-26, so realistically, you have about 48-72 business hours to get paperwork started. Don't be the person who realizes this on December 30th. 🏃

💳 Personal Finance Hack: The Christmas Bonus Strategy

🎯 What to Do With Your Year-End Bonus/Windfall

It's that time of year when bonuses, tax refunds, and random windfalls hit bank accounts. Before you start thinking "new TV" or "vacation," let's talk about the three smartest plays for that money—especially if you're a homeowner or investor. 💰

Option 1: The Extra Mortgage Payment Trap (Don't Do This Blindly)

Everyone's uncle tells them to "make extra mortgage payments!" But let's do real math. If you have a $300,000 mortgage at 6.24%, making one extra payment per year saves you about $38,000 in interest over the life of the loan and pays it off 4 years early.

Sounds great! Except... if you instead invested that same extra payment ($1,850) into an S&P 500 index fund averaging 10% annually over 30 years, you'd have $337,000. That's $299,000 more than you saved in interest. 📈

According to Investopedia's prepayment analysis, the "pay off your mortgage early" advice really only makes sense if you're: (a) extremely risk-averse, (b) nearing retirement, or (c) have a mortgage rate above 8%.

Option 2: The Roth IRA Conversion Play (For the Sophisticated)

If you have money in a traditional IRA or 401(k), converting some to a Roth IRA before year-end can be brilliant—if you're in a lower-than-usual tax bracket this year. Why? You pay taxes now at your current rate, then everything grows tax-free forever.

The magic: if you can use your bonus to cover the tax bill on the conversion, you're essentially moving money from "taxed later" to "never taxed again" status. According to NerdWallet's Roth conversion guide, this works especially well if you're between jobs, had a down income year, or have big deductions this year. 🎯

Option 3: The Investment Property Down Payment Fast-Track

Here's the play nobody talks about: using windfalls to build down payment funds for investment properties. Let's say you get a $10,000 bonus. That could be:

  • 20% down on a $50,000 investment property (yes, they exist in certain markets)
  • 15% down on a $67,000 property
  • Part of a down payment on a larger multi-family property

The ROI on leveraged real estate (especially with current rent prices) often crushes stock market returns. Plus, according to IRS Publication 527, you get depreciation deductions, interest deductions, and potential pass-through business deductions. It's like the government is subsidizing your wealth-building. 🏘️

The Real Answer: The best use of your bonus depends on your age, risk tolerance, current debt, and goals. But the worst answer? Letting it sit in a checking account earning nothing or blowing it on stuff you won't care about in six months. If you're considering investment property, talk to specialists who can show you the real numbers on what your money could generate. 💪

📊 Monday Market Reality Check

Let's talk about what's actually happening in real estate right now, because the headlines don't always tell the full story:

Inventory is Still Tight (But Getting Better)
According to Realtor.com's latest data, active listings are up about 18% year-over-year. That sounds like a lot, but we're still way below pre-2020 levels. Translation: if you find something good, don't overthink it. Someone else isn't overthinking it. 🏠

Days on Market Are Creeping Up
The median days on market is now around 55-65 days depending on your market (per NAR stats), compared to the insane 14-30 day averages we saw in 2021-2022. This is actually good news for buyers—you have time to do real due diligence without feeling pressured to waive inspections or write love letters to sellers. ⏱️

Price Reductions Are More Common
About 1 in 5 listings is seeing a price reduction right now, according to Redfin's data center. That's significantly higher than normal. Know what that means? Negotiation opportunities. Sellers who've reduced price once are often more motivated than they'll admit. 💰

🎄 The December 22nd Bottom Line

Here's the Monday truth: while most of America is coasting through Christmas week in full holiday mode, a small group of informed people are making strategic money moves. Rates at 6.24% aren't dream-level, but they're workable. And the year-end window for tax advantages, motivated sellers, and strategic positioning is closing fast. ⏰

You have essentially one business week left in 2025 (December 23-30, minus Christmas). If you've been "thinking about" making a move—whether that's buying, investing, refinancing, or optimizing your current properties—this week is decision time. Not "let's revisit this in January" time. Actual decision time. 🎯

The people who win in real estate aren't always the ones who wait for perfect conditions. They're the ones who recognize good-enough conditions and execute while others are still analyzing. Be the executor, not the analyzer. 💪

🎯 Your Monday Action Checklist:

🌟 Monday Wisdom

Real talk: you know what's more expensive than a 6.24% mortgage? Regret. Watching the perfect property sell to someone else while you were "waiting for better rates." Paying 8% more for that same house next year because you waited. Missing out on 12 months of rental income, appreciation, and tax deductions. 🤷

According to financial research, the "best time to buy" is almost never determined by rate conditions alone. It's determined by finding the right property, having your finances ready, and pulling the trigger when opportunity meets preparation. That time might be right now. 🎯

So power through this Monday. Answer those emails. Finish your last-minute tasks. But also—if you've been thinking about making a real estate move, stop thinking and start doing. The clock is ticking louder than your office's "optional" holiday party reminder. 🎅

The Lending Letter
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Back in your inbox Tuesday, December 23rd with more market intel and strategies!

Disclaimer: This newsletter is for informational and entertainment purposes. Rates vary by lender and borrower qualifications. Always consult licensed professionals for your specific situation. The investment and tax strategies discussed require careful consideration of your personal circumstances and should be reviewed with qualified tax and financial advisors.