• Lending Letter
  • Posts
  • Jan 13: Rates hit 6.07% today—here's what it means for your wallet 💰

Jan 13: Rates hit 6.07% today—here's what it means for your wallet 💰

Tuesday, January 13: Rates Inch Up But Opportunity Knocks Louder

📬 The Lending Letter 🏠

Tuesday, January 13: Rates Inch Up But Opportunity Knocks Louder

Happy Tuesday! ☕ We're nearly two weeks into 2026, and while some people are already abandoning their New Year's resolutions, mortgage rates are doing something interesting—they're creeping up just enough to make today worth talking about. Let's dive into what's happening in your wallet's favorite market. 💰

📊 TODAY'S 30-YEAR FIXED RATE
6.07%
Up 0.06% from yesterday | According to Mortgage News Daily | January 13, 2026

🎯 The Tuesday Rate Check: What a 6 Basis Point Move Actually Means

So rates bumped up 6 basis points overnight from 6.01% to 6.07%. Before you panic-Google "what is a basis point," let me translate: that's 0.06%, or about as much movement as your morning coffee price at Starbucks when they add oat milk. 🥛

But here's the thing—even tiny moves matter when you're borrowing hundreds of thousands of dollars. On a $400,000 loan, that 6 basis point increase translates to roughly $14 more per month. Over 30 years? That's about $5,000. Suddenly that basis point doesn't feel so "tiny" anymore, does it? 🤔

The good news: We're still hovering in the low-6% range, which is notably better than where we were six months ago. The market is basically doing its post-holiday dance—a little up, a little down, but generally stable enough to make solid financial decisions without losing sleep. 😴

💰 Lender Promos: Fresh Opportunities for Your 2026 Goals

🏠 Ready to Make a Move This Year? Whether you're buying your first home, upgrading, or adding to your rental portfolio, start here with our quick form and we'll connect you with lenders who are competing for your business right now.

🏢 Investment Property Hunting? January is peak time for investor deals—sellers are motivated, competition is lighter than spring, and you get a full year of tax deductions. Connect with investment property specialists who understand the game inside and out.

🏖️ Building Your STR Empire? Smart investors are locking in properties NOW before spring pricing kicks in. Get matched with STR loan specialists who know how to maximize your Airbnb ROI from day one.

📰 What's Actually Happening Today: Mid-January Market Reality

Let's talk about why rates moved today and what's on the horizon:

📈 The Economic Data Dance
Markets are digesting recent inflation and employment data, and traders are basically playing a guessing game about what the Fed will do next. According to market analysts, every data release is being scrutinized like it's a treasure map. Today's rate bump reflects bond markets adjusting expectations—nothing dramatic, just the usual volatility we see in January.

🏘️ Housing Inventory Update
Here's something interesting: Active listings are up compared to this time last year, which means buyers have more choices. More inventory + motivated January sellers = actual negotiating power. This is the kind of market where doing your homework pays off big time. 🎯

💵 The January Investor Advantage
While most people are recovering from holiday spending, serious investors are scooping up properties before spring competition heats up. Smart money knows that buying in Q1 means capturing 12 full months of rental income for the year. Math is simple: buy in January, collect rent in January. Buy in June? You just lost five months of cash flow. ⏰

🧠 Educational Deep Dive: ARM vs. Fixed in 2026

Quick question: when's the last time you seriously considered an Adjustable Rate Mortgage (ARM)? If you're like most people, probably never. But hear me out—2026 might be the year this changes. 🤨

Here's what most people don't understand about ARMs in today's environment:

💡 The ARM Strategy That Actually Makes Sense

Current Market Pricing:
30-year fixed: 6.07% (as we discussed)
5/1 ARM: Often 5.25-5.50%
7/1 ARM: Usually 5.50-5.75%

That spread might not look huge, but on a $400,000 loan, the difference between 6.07% and 5.50% is $130 per month. Over five years, that's $7,800 in your pocket instead of the bank's. 💸

When ARMs Make Sense:

1. You're Not Staying Forever
According to National Association of Realtors data, the average homeowner stays in their house for 10-13 years. If you're buying a starter home or know you'll upgrade in 5-7 years, why pay for 30 years of fixed-rate protection you won't use? 🏠

2. You're Planning to Refinance Anyway
If rates drop significantly in the next few years (which many economists predict), you'll refinance anyway. An ARM lets you save money NOW while waiting for that opportunity. It's like getting a discount for being flexible. 🎯

3. Investment Properties
For rental properties, ARMs can be particularly smart. Lower initial rates mean better cash flow, and rental income typically increases faster than interest rates. Plus, if you're a sophisticated investor, you can use that extra monthly cash flow to pay down principal faster.

The Catch (Because There's Always One):
ARMs have caps on how much the rate can increase (both per adjustment period and lifetime), but you need to be comfortable with uncertainty. If rates spike and you're still in the loan after the fixed period ends, your payment could jump. Read the fine print carefully—know your caps, adjustment periods, and index rates. 📋

Bottom Line: ARMs aren't for everyone, but they're not the scary financial monster people make them out to be. If you have a solid financial plan and understand the risks, they can be a powerful tool. Just don't pick one because it has a lower rate—pick it because it fits your actual life strategy. 🎲

🏖️ STR Investors: Your January Playbook

If you're in the short-term rental game (or thinking about jumping in), January is absolutely prime time to set yourself up for a killer year. Here's why: 🎯

Spring Break Properties Are Listed NOW
Markets in Florida, California, Arizona, and other warm-weather destinations see their best pricing in January-February. By March? Prices jump as investors realize spring break revenue is around the corner. Early bird gets the worm—and the booking calendar. 🐦

Summer Seasonal Properties Too
Beach towns, lake properties, mountain retreats—sellers list them in winter when they're not generating revenue, which means better deals. Connect with our STR specialists who know exactly which markets are undervalued right now. 📊

The Setup Time Factor
Buy in January, and you have February and March to furnish, photograph, list, and get reviews before peak season hits. Buy in April? You're scrambling and missing prime booking windows. Time is literally money in the STR game. ⏰

🚀 Level Up Your STR Game:

  • 📊 Get a cost segregation study and accelerate depreciation deductions that could save you $20k-$50k in taxes. This isn't optional for serious investors—it's mandatory.
  • 🛋️ Need to furnish your property? Our partner offers 0% interest funding. Yes, zero percent. No, that's not a typo. It's basically a cheat code for real estate.

💳 Personal Finance Hack: The Backdoor Roth IRA Strategy

🎯 How High Earners Can Still Use a Roth IRA (Legally)

Alright, this one's a bit advanced, but if you're a high earner who thinks you can't use a Roth IRA anymore, I've got news: you absolutely can. It's called the Backdoor Roth IRA, and it's 100% legal. 🚪

The Problem: In 2026, if you earn more than $161,000 (single) or $240,000 (married), you can't contribute directly to a Roth IRA. The IRS says "nope." 🚫

The Solution: There's no income limit on converting a Traditional IRA to a Roth IRA. So here's the play:

Step 1: Contribute $7,000 to a Traditional IRA (non-deductible)
Step 2: Immediately convert it to a Roth IRA
Step 3: Pay taxes on any gains (usually zero if you convert immediately)
Step 4: Enjoy tax-free growth forever

Why This Matters: According to Investopedia's analysis, a Roth IRA growing at 8% annually over 30 years turns that $7,000 into roughly $70,500—completely tax-free. No taxes when you withdraw in retirement. None. Zero. Zilch. 💰

The Complication (Pro Forma Warning): If you have existing Traditional IRA funds, there's something called the "pro-rata rule" that can create a tax mess. The IRS requires you to look at all your IRA accounts combined when calculating taxes on the conversion. Translation: talk to a CPA before executing this if you have other IRA money floating around. 🧮

Workaround for the Workaround: Roll your Traditional IRA into your employer's 401(k) first (if they allow it), then you can do clean Backdoor Roth conversions. It's like real estate—sometimes you need to do a 1031 exchange to avoid taxes. Same principle, different asset. 🎯

Timing Alert: Do this early in the year. You have until April 2027 to make 2026 IRA contributions, but converting quickly minimizes any gains that would be taxable. Plus, the sooner money is in your Roth, the sooner it starts growing tax-free. 📅

Action Item: If you're a high earner maxing out 401(k)s and want additional tax-advantaged space, this is it. Set up a Traditional IRA, make the contribution, and convert. Do it every year. It's one of the best legal tax hacks available, and most people don't know it exists. 🤫

📊 Real Talk: What Rates at 6.07% Actually Mean for Your Buying Power

Let's do some quick math that might surprise you:

$3,000/month budget at different rates:

At 3% (the good old days): ~$720,000 house
At 5%: ~$560,000 house
At 6.07% (today): ~$500,000 house
At 7%: ~$450,000 house

Notice something? The difference between today's 6.07% and potential future rates at 7%+ is significant. According to Freddie Mac historical data, rates can move fast—like "your buying power drops $50k in two months" fast. 📉

But here's the flip side: if you wait for 5% rates and home prices increase 5% in the meantime, you're not actually saving money. You're just shifting whether you pay the bank (interest) or the seller (higher price). Most people don't think about it this way, but the math shows they're often equivalent. 🤯

🎓 Quick Hit: Understanding Loan-to-Value Ratios (LTV)

Let's talk about something that confuses people constantly: LTV ratios. It's simpler than it sounds, I promise. 📐

Loan-to-Value (LTV) = Loan Amount ÷ Property Value × 100

Example: $400,000 loan on a $500,000 house = 80% LTV

Why This Number Controls Your Life:

• Above 80% LTV: You pay PMI (private mortgage insurance), which typically costs 0.5-1% of the loan annually. On $400k, that's $2,000-$4,000 per year you're lighting on fire. 🔥

• At 80% LTV: No PMI. This is the magic number most people aim for (20% down payment).

• Below 75% LTV: You often qualify for better rates. Lenders love you because you have skin in the game.

The Investment Property Twist: Investment property LTV requirements are stricter—often 75-80% max. According to Bankrate's investment property guide, you typically need 15-25% down for rentals. But here's the hack: once you have equity, you can refinance or get a HELOC to pull cash out for the next property. Rinse and repeat. 🔄

Pro Tip: If you're at 81% LTV and paying PMI, even paying down just $5,000-$10,000 to hit 80% can save you thousands per year. Sometimes the best "investment" is paying off a tiny bit more of your mortgage to eliminate PMI. 💡

🏘️ Market Intel: What's Selling (and What's Sitting)

Current market dynamics from boots-on-the-ground data:

🔥 What's Hot:

Turnkey Properties: Buyers don't want projects. Homes that are move-in ready are getting multiple offers. Redfin reports that updated homes are selling 2-3x faster than fixers. In this rate environment, people want simple. 🏠

Smaller Homes: With higher rates, people are buying what they can afford, not what they dream about. Starter homes are seeing the most action. 1,200-1,800 sq ft properties? Flying off shelves. 3,500 sq ft McMansions? Sitting. 📦

Multi-Family/Rental Plays: Investors are gobbling up duplexes, triplexes, and small apartment buildings. With rates higher, rental demand is strong, and the math still works for seasoned investors. 📊

❄️ What's Cold:

Overpriced Everything: Sellers still stuck in 2021 pricing? Their homes are becoming landmarks. Markets are rational again—overpricing means you're donating to your Realtor's monthly open house wine budget. 🍷

High-End Luxury: Unless it's in prime locations, luxury homes (>$1M) are moving slower. Wealthy buyers aren't rate-sensitive, but they're volume-sensitive—fewer buyers in that pool means longer days on market. ⏰

🎯 Your Mid-January Action Plan:

Ready to make 2026 your year? Here's your playbook:

🌟 The Bottom Line

Today's 6.07% rate is what it is—not amazing, not terrible, just workable. The real story isn't the rate; it's what you do with the opportunities that exist right now, today, in mid-January 2026. 🎯

While everyone else is still in "New Year planning mode," smart buyers and investors are executing. They're not waiting for perfect conditions—they're working with current conditions and building wealth anyway. Because here's a truth most people learn too late: the perfect time to buy never actually arrives. You create the perfect time by making smart decisions with imperfect information. 🧠

Plus, remember that real estate's tax advantages haven't changed. Depreciation, mortgage interest deductions, cost segregation, 1031 exchanges—these tools are just as powerful at 6% rates as they were at 3% rates. The math changes slightly, but the wealth-building formula remains the same. 💰

So stop overthinking it. Stop waiting for rates to drop another half point while prices rise 5%. Stop letting analysis paralysis cost you months or years of equity building and rental income. 2026 just started—let's make it count. 🚀

Remember: Opportunity isn't about perfect timing. It's about recognizing value when others are hesitating.

The Lending Letter
📬 Your daily dose of mortgage market reality
🎯 Delivered every weekday because rates don't take days off

See you tomorrow (Wednesday) with fresh insights and opportunities!

Disclaimer: This newsletter is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Rates and terms vary by lender, location, and borrower qualifications. Mortgage rates can change multiple times daily. Always consult with a licensed mortgage professional for your specific situation. The Backdoor Roth IRA strategy discussed requires consultation with a tax professional to ensure proper execution and compliance with IRS regulations. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results.