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- Mar 25: ๐ฐ Your Earnest Money Deposit
Mar 25: ๐ฐ Your Earnest Money Deposit
How much earnest money do you actually need? What protects it? When do you lose it?
๐ก The Lending Letter
Wednesday, March 25, 2026 โ Rates Dip to 6.48%, Earnest Money Decoded, and the Home Office Deduction Most Remote Workers Are Missing ๐ง
Happy Wednesday! โ We're getting a small gift from the rate gods today โ the 30-year fixed just slipped 7 basis points to 6.48%, giving buyers and refinancers a slightly friendlier window heading into what could be a volatile Friday. Durable Goods Orders hit at 8:30 AM ET this morning ๐, and Core PCE โ the Fed's favorite inflation gauge โ drops Friday morning and has the power to flip this trend in either direction.
Today we're digging into one of the most stressful and misunderstood parts of the homebuying process: earnest money deposits. How much do you actually need to put down? What happens to it if the deal falls apart? Can you lose it? The answers might surprise you. We're also unlocking a tax deduction that a shocking number of remote workers, freelancers, and side-hustle operators leave on the table every single year: the home office deduction. Let's make Wednesday count. ๐ช
๐ฐ Rate Watch: 7 Bps Down โ but Friday's PCE Could Change Everything
Today's dip to 6.48% is welcome news, but don't throw a party just yet. The 10-year Treasury has been trading in a tight range post-FOMC, and we're essentially in a holding pattern until Friday's Core PCE data release at 8:30 AM ET. Markets are currently pricing in a 2.6% YoY consensus โ any hotter-than-expected reading could push rates back above 6.55% by end of week. Any cooler print, and we might test the 6.30s. High-stakes Thursday and Friday ahead. ๐ข
๐ญ What's Moving the Market This Week
๐ฆ Wednesday: Durable Goods Orders (8:30 AM ET โ today): This report tracks orders for goods meant to last 3+ years โ think aircraft, machinery, autos. A strong number signals business investment is healthy, which typically nudges rates higher (strong economy = less urgency for Fed cuts). A soft print can briefly pull the 10-year down. Watch for the "ex-transportation" reading, which strips out volatile aircraft orders and gives a cleaner business investment signal. ๐ญ
๐ Thursday: Final Q4 GDP Estimate (8:30 AM ET): The Bureau of Economic Analysis releases its third and final Q4 2025 GDP estimate tomorrow. The second estimate came in at 2.3% annualized. Revisions here rarely shock markets, but a big downside surprise could be a mild rate-positive event. Per the BEA release schedule, this is a clean setup for Friday's bigger print. ๐
๐ฏ The Big Event โ Core PCE (Friday, March 28, 8:30 AM ET): This is THE number. The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, and the one that has the most direct influence on rate expectations heading into the May 7 FOMC meeting. Consensus: 2.6% YoY. A beat on the upside and the May rate cut probability collapses further. A downside surprise and there's a real chance we trade into the 6.20s. If you're 30โ45 days from closing, float vs. lock is an active conversation to have with your loan officer today. โก
๐ฐ What 6.48% means for your monthly payment: On a $400,000 mortgage, your P&I is approximately $2,524/month. At last Friday's 6.55%, that same loan was $2,537 โ a $13/month savings. Not a windfall, but it's $4,680 back in your pocket over 30 years. Every basis point matters. ๐งฎ
๐ฏ Lender Promos โ PCE Drops Friday. Are You Ready? ๐
Friday's Core PCE data could push rates in either direction. Being pre-approved before the print means you're positioned to move fast โ locking before a potential spike or capitalizing if rates dip. Get the process started today:
๐ Buying or refinancing a primary home? Fill out a quick two-minute form here โ no hard credit pull to start. โ
๐ Looking at investment property this spring? Investor mortgage underwriting works very differently than primary residence financing. Explore investment property loan options here.
๐๏ธ STR operator or looking to add an Airbnb to your portfolio? DSCR loans use projected rental income โ not your tax returns โ to qualify. Connect with an STR loan specialist here.
๐ฐ Today's Deep Dive: Earnest Money Deposits โ How Much, What's Protected, and When You Can Lose It All
You've found the house. You're ready to make an offer. Your agent says you'll need to put down earnest money to show the seller you're serious. And then comes the question that trips up almost every first-time buyer: "How much? And what happens if this falls through?" ๐ฌ
Earnest money deposits (EMDs) are one of the most misunderstood parts of the homebuying process โ and getting them wrong can cost you thousands. According to NAR's 2025 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, disputes over EMD forfeiture are among the most common transaction conflicts in competitive spring markets. Let's break it all down. ๐ง
๐ The Basics: What Earnest Money Actually Is
Definition: An earnest money deposit is a good-faith payment made by the buyer to the seller (held in escrow by a neutral third party) at the time of offer acceptance. It signals that you're serious about following through on the purchase โ not just making offers on every house in the neighborhood. ๐ค
Where does it go? The EMD is typically held by a title company, escrow company, or the seller's real estate brokerage โ not the seller themselves. It sits in a trust or escrow account until closing, at which point it's applied toward your down payment or closing costs. It's your money โ until it isn't. ๐
Is it the same as a down payment? No โ but it rolls into one. Your EMD is credited toward your total cash needed at closing. If you're putting 10% down on a $450,000 home ($45,000), and your EMD was $9,000, you'd bring $36,000 to the closing table (plus closing costs). ๐ฆ
Is it required? Technically, no โ but practically, yes. In most markets, especially competitive spring ones, sellers won't accept an offer without earnest money. No EMD often means no deal. ๐
๐ต How Much Earnest Money Do You Actually Need?
| Market Type | Typical EMD Range | Example on $400K Home | Competitive Edge? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buyer's Market | 0.5% โ 1% | $2,000 โ $4,000 | Baseline acceptable |
| Balanced Market | 1% โ 2% | $4,000 โ $8,000 | Standard expectation |
| Seller's Market | 2% โ 3% | $8,000 โ $12,000 | Signals strong intent |
| Hot / Multiple Offers | 3% โ 5%+ | $12,000 โ $20,000+ | Can differentiate offer |
| New Construction | $5,000 โ $20,000 flat | Builder-set amount | Non-negotiable usually |
๐ These ranges vary significantly by region. In parts of California, Texas, and Florida this spring, EMDs of 3โ5% are basically table stakes in multiple-offer situations. In slower Midwest markets, 1% still flies just fine. Ask your agent what's customary in your specific market before submitting. ๐บ๏ธ
๐ก๏ธ How to Protect Your Earnest Money โ Contingencies Are Your Safety Net
The most important thing to understand about earnest money is this: contingencies are what protect it. If you include proper contingencies in your contract and exercise them correctly, you get your EMD back. If you waive contingencies or miss deadlines, you risk losing it. Here are the three big ones:
๐ Inspection Contingency: Gives you the right to back out (and get your EMD back) if the home inspection reveals significant issues you can't resolve with the seller. Exercise it within the specified window โ typically 7โ14 days. Miss the deadline and this protection disappears. โ ๏ธ
๐ฆ Financing Contingency (Mortgage Contingency): Protects you if your loan falls through โ even if you were pre-approved. If your lender can't fund for a legitimate reason (appraisal comes in low, job loss, underwriting change), this lets you exit with your deposit intact. Per CFPB's homebuying guide, waiving this in a hot market is one of the riskiest moves a buyer can make. ๐จ
๐ Appraisal Contingency: If the home appraises below your agreed purchase price, this gives you the right to renegotiate or walk. Without it, you're on the hook to cover the appraisal gap out of pocket โ or lose your deposit if you can't. (We covered appraisal gap strategy in our March 20 edition for those who missed it.) ๐
๐ก Home Sale Contingency: Protects buyers who need to sell their current home before closing on a new one. Common in move-up buyer situations. Sellers in competitive markets often won't accept these โ or will include a "kick-out clause" โ but it's worth knowing they exist. ๐
โ ๏ธ When You CAN Lose Your Earnest Money
This is the scary part โ and it's more common than people think:
โ You waived your financing contingency and your loan falls through โ even if it wasn't your fault. If you waived it to be competitive and your lender denies the mortgage, the seller can often claim the deposit. ๐ธ
โ You missed a contingency deadline โ If your inspection contingency window was 10 days and you didn't act until day 11, you may have lost that protection. Deadlines in real estate contracts are usually "time is of the essence" โ meaning hard stops. โฐ
โ You simply changed your mind โ Cold feet doesn't get your money back. If all contingencies have been removed or expired and you decide you don't want the house, the seller is typically entitled to keep the deposit as liquidated damages. ๐ฌ
โ You failed to close on time without an extension โ If the contract has a specific closing date and you can't close (without a valid contingency), the seller may have grounds to terminate and retain the EMD. Always request a written extension before a closing deadline lapses. ๐
โ Pro Tips for Managing Your EMD Like a Pro
๐ Always use a reputable escrow holder โ title company, escrow company, or attorney. Never wire earnest money directly to a seller or their agent. Wire fraud in real estate transactions is rampant โ always verify wire instructions via a direct phone call to the escrow company before sending. ๐
๐ Put every deadline in your calendar with a 48-hour warning โ inspection contingency, financing contingency, appraisal contingency. These deadlines have no grace period. ๐๏ธ
๐ Get extension requests in writing โ If you need more time for any reason, request a written addendum signed by both parties. Verbal extensions aren't worth the paper they're not printed on. โ๏ธ
๐ฆ Don't park your EMD in a random account before it's needed โ Have liquid funds ready in a checking or savings account. Some transactions move fast. The last thing you want is to scramble to liquidate investments to fund your earnest money and trigger unnecessary tax events. ๐ก
๐ก Spring Buyers: Be Ready Before You Make an Offer ๐ธ
In a competitive spring market, the window between offer acceptance and contingency deadlines moves fast. Having your financing locked down โ or at least a full pre-approval in hand โ means fewer surprises and better protected deposits. Here's where to start:
๐ Primary home purchase or refi? Get connected with a lender here โ takes two minutes. โ
๐ Adding an investment property this spring? Explore investor loan options here โ DSCR, conventional, and more. ๐๏ธ
๐๏ธ Looking to finance or refinance an STR? Connect with an STR loan specialist here. ๐ด
๐ง Personal Finance Hack: The Home Office Deduction โ The Write-Off Remote Workers Keep Leaving on the Table
If you work from home โ full-time, part-time, or as a freelancer with even a single client โ there's a good chance the IRS owes you money you've never claimed. The home office deduction is one of the most underutilized tax deductions in the entire code, and yet it's surprisingly accessible for self-employed workers, independent contractors, gig workers, and small business owners. ๐ธ
Quick caveat: W-2 employees who work from home cannot claim this deduction under current tax law (the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 eliminated it for employees through at least 2025). But if you have any self-employment income โ freelance work, a side hustle, 1099 income, rental income managed as a business โ you may be fully eligible. Per IRS Publication 587, the rules aren't as scary as people think. Here's the breakdown. ๐
๐ The Two Requirements: Regular and Exclusive Use
To qualify, your home office space must meet two tests:
1. Regular use: You use the space consistently for business โ not just occasionally. A corner of your bedroom where you sometimes check email doesn't count. A dedicated room where you conduct client calls and do your work every day? That's getting warmer. โ
2. Exclusive use: The space is used only for business purposes. This is where a lot of people get disqualified. If your "office" is the kitchen table where you also eat dinner, it doesn't qualify. If it's a spare bedroom that doubles as a guest room, it doesn't qualify. A dedicated office that only functions as an office? That qualifies. ๐ช
Principal place of business test: For most people, you also need this to be your primary place of business (or where you regularly meet clients). If you have a physical office elsewhere and work from home sometimes, it may not qualify โ but there are exceptions. ๐
๐ Simplified Method vs. Actual Expense Method: Which Is Better?
| Factor | ๐ Simplified Method | ๐ Actual Expense Method |
|---|---|---|
| How it's calculated | $5/sq ft, max 300 sq ft | % of home used ร actual home costs |
| Maximum deduction | $1,500/year | Uncapped (based on actual costs) |
| Recordkeeping required | Minimal โ just sq footage | Detailed (rent/mortgage, utilities, repairs, insurance) |
| Depreciation recapture on sale? | โ No โ clean exit | โ ๏ธ Yes โ potential depreciation recapture |
| Best for | Small office, lower housing costs | Larger office, high rent/mortgage in HCOL |
| Audit risk | Lower | Slightly higher โ documentation is everything |
๐ก Real Dollar Example: Is the Actual Expense Method Worth It?
Scenario: Freelance designer in Austin. 200 sq ft office in a 1,500 sq ft home. Monthly rent: $2,800. Monthly utilities: $250. Renter's insurance: $20/month.
Business use percentage: 200 รท 1,500 = 13.3%
Simplified Method deduction: 200 sq ft ร $5 = $1,000/year
Actual Expense deduction: 13.3% ร ($33,600 rent + $3,000 utilities + $240 insurance) = 13.3% ร $36,840 = $4,900/year
The difference: $3,900/year in additional deductions. At a 22% marginal rate, that's $858 in tax savings per year โ just from taking a few extra hours to document your actual expenses vs. using the simplified shortcut. That's not a rounding error. That's a flight and a half. โ๏ธ
๐จ What You Can Deduct Under the Actual Expense Method
For homeowners using the actual expense method, deductible expenses (pro-rated by business use %) include:
โ
Mortgage interest (in addition to the standard Schedule A deduction โ this is a separate allocation) ๐
โ
Real estate taxes ๐๏ธ
โ
Homeowner's or renter's insurance ๐
โ
Utilities (electricity, gas, internet โ the internet one is a big one) ๐ก
โ
Repairs and maintenance that benefit the whole home ๐ง
โ
Depreciation of your home (based on the business-use percentage of your home's basis) ๐
โ
HOA fees (if applicable) ๐๏ธ
โ ๏ธ Depreciation recapture warning: If you claim depreciation on your home office and later sell the home, the IRS will tax the depreciation you claimed at up to 25% โ even if you use the Section 121 exclusion on the rest of the gain. It's still often worth it, but run the math with your CPA before choosing this route. ๐งฎ
๐ The Home Office Deduction Cheat Sheet
โ Who qualifies: Self-employed, freelancers, 1099 workers, gig workers, sole proprietors, S-corp owners who receive reasonable compensation. W-2 employees: not eligible under current law.
โ Form to use: Schedule C (self-employed) or Form 8829 (actual expense method detail). The simplified method is calculated directly on Schedule C.
โ Measure your space: Get out the tape measure. Square footage is your starting number for either method.
โ Document everything: Keep receipts, utility bills, insurance statements, and mortgage/rent statements. If you use the actual expense method, you want a clean paper trail.
โ Take a photo: Not required by the IRS, but if you're ever audited, a dated photo of your dedicated office space โ showing it's used exclusively for work โ is extraordinarily helpful evidence. ๐ธ
๐๏ธ STR Investor Corner: Easter Weekend Is 11 Days Out โ Time to Price Like You Mean It
Easter falls on April 5 this year, and you're now inside the 2-week booking window โ which is when leisure travelers most actively book holiday weekend travel. If your STR calendar still has open nights from April 3โ6, this is your last real opportunity to capture premium weekend pricing before inventory pressure eats into your rates. ๐๏ธ
๐ฏ Your STR Calendar: The Next 10 Weeks at a Glance
๐ฃ Easter Weekend (April 3โ6): PEAK pricing window. Family travel, spring break tail, religious travel. 2โ3x base rate is defensible in most markets. If you haven't already, now is the moment to push rates. Open nights after April 6 should be discounted aggressively to capture the holiday extension traveler. ๐ฐ
๐ April 7โ25 (Post-Holiday Shoulder): Classic lull. Don't fight it โ fill it. Attract work-from-home travelers, remote workers on "workcations," and early summer planners with moderate pricing and longer minimum stays (4โ7 nights performs well in this window). Per AirDNA's seasonal trends data, platforms push you in search results when you have low vacancy โ smart gap pricing here builds your review volume heading into summer. ๐
๐ธ Spring Break Wave 3 โ Late April (April 19โ26): College spring breaks on a staggered schedule continue into late April. Florida, Gulf Coast, Mountain and Desert markets still see meaningful demand waves here. Check your comp set on Airbnb for price signals. ๐
๐ Memorial Day Weekend (May 23โ26): First major summer demand event. Start bumping rates now for the holiday weekend itself โ but set your minimum stay to 3 nights to avoid fragmented bookings that leave you with stranded single nights on either side. Two months out is the right time to anchor your pricing. ๐
๐ก STR Financing & Amenity Upgrades: Timing Is Everything
Spring is historically the best time to close on an STR acquisition โ before summer occupancy peaks and sellers regain leverage. If you're looking at a new STR purchase, connect with an STR loan specialist here โ DSCR loans are underwritten on projected rental income, not your personal tax returns, which changes everything for operators. ๐๏ธ
๐๏ธ Need to level up your existing property before summer demand hits? Hot tubs, outdoor entertainment setups, and premium bedding upgrades can move your ADR (average daily rate) meaningfully. If you want to explore 0% interest furnishing and renovation funding, check out this 0% interest funding option here โ designed specifically for STR operators. ๐
๐ฐ Cost Segregation: Your STR Tax Weapon for 2025 Returns
If you're filing 2025 taxes and your STR property generated meaningful income, a cost segregation study could front-load five figures of depreciation into your 2025 return โ potentially eliminating your STR income entirely on paper. The study typically runs $3,000โ$8,000 and can save 5โ10x that amount in taxes for properties over $300K.
Want a free estimate? Get a cost segregation estimate from our partner here. No commitment required. ๐งฎ
๐ Economic Calendar: The Rest of the Week
| Day | Event | Time (ET) | Rate Impact? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 3/25 | Durable Goods Orders (Feb) | 8:30 AM | ๐ก Moderate |
| Thu 3/26 | Final Q4 GDP Estimate (3rd) | 8:30 AM | ๐ก Moderate |
| Thu 3/26 | Weekly Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | ๐ก Moderate |
| Fri 3/28 โญ | Core PCE Price Index (Feb) | 8:30 AM | ๐ด HIGH |
| Fri 3/28 | Personal Income & Spending (Feb) | 8:30 AM | ๐ก Moderate |
| Fri 3/28 | UMich Consumer Sentiment (Final) | 10:00 AM | ๐ข Low-Moderate |
๐ Wednesday Homework โ Segmented by You
| You Are... | Your Action Item This Week |
|---|---|
| ๐ Active Home Buyer | Look up every home you're considering on the FEMA flood map. And before you submit your next offer, confirm your financing contingency language with your agent. Don't waive it without fully understanding what you're giving up. ๐ก๏ธ |
| ๐ Real Estate Investor | If you're acquiring this spring, model your EMD as 2โ3% of offer price in competitive markets. Also: have liquid funds ready โ don't be the buyer scrambling to liquidate brokerage positions to fund a deposit. Explore investor loan options here. ๐ |
| ๐๏ธ STR Operator | Check your Easter weekend pricing right now โ if you still have open nights April 3โ6, push rates up. Set a 2-night minimum for the weekend and watch what happens to your conversion rate. If your ADR goes down without a meaningful occupancy gain, pull back โ data beats instinct. ๐ฑ |
| ๐ฐ Freelancer / Self-Employed | Measure your home office space. Decide between simplified vs. actual expense method. If you haven't filed your 2025 return yet โ or if you're on extension โ this deduction is still available. Talk to your CPA today. It could be worth hundreds or thousands. ๐งฎ |
| ๐ Homeowner Watching Rates | Don't make a lock/float decision before Friday's PCE. If your loan officer is pushing you to lock today (Wednesday), ask them specifically what they think a PCE miss vs. beat scenario means for your rate. Get their view in writing or at minimum in an email. ๐ |
๐ Quick Links โ Everything in One Spot
๐ Primary Home Purchase or Refi:Get connected with a lender here
๐ Investment Property Loan:Explore investor loan options here
๐๏ธ STR / Airbnb Loan:Connect with an STR loan specialist here
๐๏ธ 0% Interest STR Furnishing & Renovation Funding:Explore 0% interest furnishing funding here
๐งฎ Cost Segregation Estimate (save 5 figures on taxes):Get a free estimate here
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer: The Lending Letter is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, mortgage, tax, or legal advice. Mortgage rates change daily and individual rates will vary based on credit score, loan type, property, and lender. All rate data sourced from Mortgage News Daily. Tax rules summarized here are general in nature โ consult a licensed CPA or tax advisor before making decisions regarding your specific situation. Always consult with a licensed mortgage professional before making borrowing decisions.
๐ฌ That's a wrap for Wednesday, March 25! Tomorrow's edition drops Thursday, March 26 โ we'll have the Q4 GDP final estimate, Jobless Claims, and a full pre-PCE rate strategy breakdown. See you then! ๐ก | lendingletter.com