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May 29: ๐๏ธ Four Fed Voices
The Assumable Mortgage Hack That Could Save You $600/Month on the Same House. The HSA Triple Tax Trick Most People Are Completely Wasting.
๐ก The Lending Letter
Friday, May 29, 2026 โ Four Fed Voices, One Last Friday Before the Blackout ๐๏ธ | Rates at 6.56%
The Assumable Mortgage Hack That Could Save You $600/Month on the Same House ๐ | The HSA Triple Tax Trick Most People Are Completely Wasting ๐
Good morning and happy Friday! โ๐ Welcome to the back end of a truly data-drenched week. Rates are sitting at 6.56% this morning โ ticking down three basis points from yesterday's 6.59%. Not a dramatic move, but after rates surged to a nine-month high heading into Memorial Day weekend, "three bps lower" counts as a win. We'll take it. ๐
Here's what happened while America was eating hot dogs on Monday: the post-holiday week came roaring back with consumer confidence Tuesday, an MBA mortgage application drop Wednesday (down 8.5% for the prior week, if you needed confirmation that higher rates bite), and then Thursday's legendary data pile-up: GDP revised down to 1.6%, PCE at 3.8% annually with a softer-than-feared monthly print, jobless claims ticking slightly above consensus at 215,000, and new home sales cratering to just 622,000 annualized โ the weakest reading in three months. ๐
This morning added one more: April Wholesale Inventories came in at +0.5%, softer than the +0.8% expected โ a small but mildly rate-friendly signal suggesting businesses are building stock more cautiously than forecast. The 10-year Treasury pulled back to around 4.44% overnight, which is part of why we're opening at 6.56% and not higher. ๐
But the real storyline today is the four Fed speakers dropping between now and 12:40pm ET โ Kansas City's Jeffrey Schmid at 6:30am, Governor Michelle Bowman at 9:10am, Chicago's Anna Paulson at 9:15am, and San Francisco's Mary Daly at 12:40pm. With the June 17โ18 FOMC meeting now fewer than three weeks away, these are among the last public comments before the Fed blackout period kicks in. Translation: every word matters. ๐
Two deep dives today for a Friday brain boost: assumable mortgages โ the mostly-overlooked trick that lets buyers take over a seller's 3% loan in a 6.56% rate world โ and the HSA as a stealth retirement account that has a triple tax advantage most people are completely leaving on the table. Let's go. ๐
๐ 30-Year Fixed Rate โ Friday, May 29, 2026
6.56%
โฌ๏ธ -0.03% from Thursday, May 28 | Wholesale inventories softer; 10-yr Treasury pulling back
Source: Mortgage News Daily | Four Fed speakers on deck today โ any surprises could move this before the close
๐ก What 6.56% Costs You Right Now (P&I Only)
$300K loan โ ~$1,910/month
$400K loan โ ~$2,547/month
$500K loan โ ~$3,183/month
$600K loan โ ~$3,820/month
๐ฏ Lender Promos โ See What You Qualify For
With rates down slightly from this week's peaks and four Fed speakers on deck today, the landscape could shift before the weekend. If you've been waiting for a cleaner moment to get a quote, this is a reasonable window to shop:
๐ Buying or refinancing a primary home? Fill out this quick form to get matched with lenders for your situation. โ
๐๏ธ Looking at a rental or investment property? Investment property loans are priced differently โ get connected with a specialist here. ๐
๐ฐ MARKET PULSE โ THE BACK END OF A DATA-HEAVY WEEK
๐ What Today's Wholesale Data & Fed Parade Mean for Rates
Let's talk about what's actually moving markets this morning, and what to watch through market close.
The data that landed at 8:30am ET โ Advance Wholesale Inventories for April โ printed at +0.5%, coming in below the +0.8% consensus and well under March's revised +1.3%. According to the Census Bureau's advance indicators data, wholesale inventories reflect how aggressively businesses are building stockpiles. A softer reading suggests companies aren't confidently restocking ahead of demand โ a sign of caution that's mildly bond-friendly. Not a market-mover on its own, but it adds to the narrative from Thursday's weak data. ๐ฆ
The bigger story today is the Fed speaker parade. As flagged by The Mortgage Reports, Friday features four Fed voices: Kansas City's Jeffrey Schmid at 6:30am ET, Governor Michelle Bowman at 9:10am ET, Chicago's Anna Paulson at 9:15am ET, and San Francisco's Mary Daly at 12:40pm ET. This is one of the last windows before the Fed blackout period ahead of the June 17โ18 FOMC meeting. Any dovish tilt (or hawkish surprise) from these four could move the 10-year Treasury meaningfully before the weekend. Eyes open. ๐
Worth noting: new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh was sworn in on May 22. Warsh is widely considered more hawkish than his predecessors and has been vocal about moving carefully on cuts. Markets are still calibrating to his style โ which makes every Fed speaker appearance between now and June 18 slightly higher-stakes than usual. ๐๏ธ
Where does June cut probability stand? After Thursday's soft data, the bond market is gently leaning toward a "maybe" on June โ but it's not a high-conviction trade. According to Bankrate's rate tracker, Bankrate's Mortgage Rate Variability Index sits at 6 out of 10 as of late May โ meaning rate quotes from lender to lender are diverging more than normal. That's your reminder to shop multiple lenders, not just call one. ๐
| Data Point | Result | Rate Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Wholesale Inventories (Apr) โ TODAY | +0.5% vs. +0.8% expected | ๐ก Mildly friendly โ cautious business restocking |
| PCE Inflation (Apr โ Thu) | 3.8% YoY, +0.4% MoM โ softer monthly than feared | ๐ก Neutral-to-friendly; monthly deceleration matters |
| Q1 GDP Revision (Thu) | 1.6% โ revised DOWN from 2.0% advance estimate | ๐ข Slower growth = more Fed room to cut |
| Jobless Claims (Thu) | 215,000 vs. 211,000 expected | ๐ก Slight softness in labor โ mild positive for bonds |
| New Home Sales (Apr โ Thu) | 622,000 โ weakest in 3 months; missed 665K forecast | ๐ข Weak demand = more builder concession leverage for buyers |
| MBA Applications (Wed, week of May 22) | Down 8.5% โ reached highest rate since August 2025 | ๐ด Higher rates are cooling buyer activity in real time |
๐๏ธ What's Coming: May 29 โ June 18
| Date | Event | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|
| Today โ Fri, May 29 | Wholesale Inventories (8:30am); Schmid, Bowman, Paulson, Daly speak | Last big Friday before FOMC blackout โ four Fed voices in one day โก |
| Fri, Jun 6 | May Jobs Report (8:30am ET) | Single biggest data point between now and June FOMC |
| Wed, Jun 11 | May CPI (8:30am ET) | Last major inflation print before the blackout โ do tariffs show up here? |
| Jun 17โ18 | FOMC Rate Decision โ new Chair Kevin Warsh presiding | First FOMC under Warsh; every soft print between now and then builds the cut case |
๐ DEEP DIVE #1: ASSUMABLE MORTGAGES
๐ The Rate Hack Nobody Talks About โ Taking Over a Seller's 3% Mortgage in a 6.56% World
Imagine you're buying a $450,000 home and you find out the seller has an existing mortgage at 3.25% with $280,000 still remaining on the balance. Instead of getting a new loan at 6.56%, what if you could justโฆ take over theirs? Same house. Same roof. But on a loan that was locked in when rates were half of what they are today. ๐คฏ
That's an assumable mortgage โ and while it sounds like something out of a 1987 real estate textbook, it is very real, underutilized, and in the current rate environment, potentially worth hundreds of dollars per month in savings. The catch: only specific loan types are assumable. But there are more of them than you think. ๐
๐ Which Loans Are Actually Assumable?
โ VA Loans โ Assumable (even by non-veterans): This is the one that surprises people. VA loans are assumable by any qualified buyer โ you don't have to be a veteran to assume a veteran's loan. The original veteran does lose their VA entitlement until the loan is paid off or the new buyer (if a veteran) substitutes their own entitlement. Process requires VA and lender approval.
โ USDA Loans โ Assumable (with USDA approval): Less common but similarly structured. USDA loans originated for rural property buyers can be assumed with agency approval.
โ Conventional Loans โ NOT assumable: Your standard Fannie/Freddie-backed loan has a "due on sale" clause. When the home sells, the loan comes due. No assumption. The vast majority of mortgages fall into this bucket โ which is why finding an assumable loan requires targeted searching.
๐ฐ The Real Numbers: What Assumption Actually Saves You
Let's put real dollar figures on this. Say a seller has an FHA loan with a $280,000 remaining balance at 3.25%. You're buying their home for $450,000. Here's how assumption compares to a traditional new-purchase loan:
| Scenario | Loan Amount | Rate | Monthly P&I | 30-Year Interest Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New loan at today's rate | $360K (20% down) | 6.56% | ~$2,294/mo | ~$465,840 |
| Assumed FHA loan + gap financing | $280K assumed @ 3.25% + $90K gap loan @ ~8%* | Blended ~4.6% | ~$1,877/mo (combined) | ~$315,720 |
| ๐ฐ Monthly Savings | ~$417/month | ~$150K over 30 years | |||
*Gap financing = a second loan to cover the difference between the assumed balance and the purchase price. Rates on gap loans vary and can range from 7โ10%+ depending on the lender.
Yes, the gap financing math complicates things โ you're often carrying two loans. But the savings on the larger assumed balance can still dramatically outperform a fresh loan at 6.56%, especially on homes where the assumed balance covers a large portion of the purchase price. Run your own numbers, but the concept is real and worth understanding. ๐งฎ
๐ How Do You Actually Find Assumable Listings?
Option 2 โ AssumeList.com: A newer platform specifically designed to surface assumable mortgage listings. Filters by state, loan type, and remaining balance. Still limited in inventory but growing fast as more agents catch on.
Option 3 โ Roam (roamhome.com): A startup specifically helping buyers navigate the assumption process, including handling the paperwork โ which is notoriously slow. Assumption approvals can take 60โ90 days with some servicers.
Option 4 โ Direct outreach: In markets where you know homes have FHA/VA loans and sellers are motivated, a direct offer that highlights the assumable structure as a buyer benefit can make your offer stand out.
โ ๏ธ The Gotchas You Must Know Before You Assume
๐จ Gap financing isn't always available: Not all lenders will write a second loan to cover the purchase price gap. Some do; many don't. Confirm before you go under contract.
๐จ VA entitlement impact: If a veteran seller's VA loan is assumed by a non-veteran buyer, the seller's VA entitlement stays tied up until the loan is paid off. This could affect the seller's ability to get a future VA loan. Many veteran sellers won't accept this arrangement โ and they're right to be cautious.
๐จ The loan balance may be lower than you'd like: On loans originated in 2020โ2022, the remaining balance after years of payments may have dropped significantly. A $400K loan from 2021 might have $340K remaining. That's still useful โ but limits how much value you extract.
๐ PERSONAL FINANCE HACK: THE HSA TRIPLE TAX ADVANTAGE
๐ง The Sneaky Third Retirement Account That Congress Forgot to Mention
Most people treat their Health Savings Account (HSA) like a glorified debit card for doctor co-pays. Swipe when sick, forget about it otherwise. That's a mistake. When used intentionally, an HSA is arguably the most tax-efficient savings vehicle in the entire U.S. tax code โ more efficient than a Roth IRA, more efficient than a 401(k), and almost certainly being underused by whoever's reading this right now. ๐ฌ
Here's why: most tax-advantaged accounts give you one tax benefit. A traditional 401(k) gives you a tax deduction now. A Roth gives you tax-free growth later. An HSA, if used correctly, gives you three โ and that's not marketing copy, that's the actual IRS code. ๐
๐ข The Three Tax Advantages, Explained Simply
If your HSA is funded via payroll, it's pre-tax โ meaning you never pay income tax or FICA (Social Security/Medicare) taxes on that money. That's a bigger savings than a traditional 401(k), which avoids income tax but not FICA. If you contribute directly (not via payroll), you get a tax deduction on your federal return. In 2026, you can contribute up to $4,300 for individuals and $8,550 for families.
Tax Benefit #2 โ Growth is tax-free:
Once the money is in your HSA and invested (yes, you can invest it โ more on that below), all gains are tax-free. Dividends, capital gains, compound interest โ none of it is taxed. This is the part most people miss because they're leaving their HSA sitting in a 0.01% savings account instead of investing it.
Tax Benefit #3 โ Qualified withdrawals are tax-free:
Use the money for qualified medical expenses โ now or in retirement โ and you pay zero taxes on withdrawal. That's the third layer: you put money in pre-tax, it grows tax-free, and it comes out tax-free. Zero tax at any point in the cycle. ๐
Bonus: After age 65, non-medical withdrawals are taxed like traditional IRA withdrawals โ just ordinary income tax, no penalty. So your HSA becomes a traditional IRA backup if you don't use it all for healthcare.
๐ HSA vs. 401(k) vs. Roth IRA: The Full Tax Comparison
| Account | Tax on Contribution | Tax on Growth | Tax on Withdrawal | 2026 Limit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HSA (triple tax) | โ Pre-tax / deductible | โ Tax-free | โ Tax-free (medical) | $4,300 / $8,550 (family) |
| Traditional 401(k) | โ Pre-tax | โ Tax-deferred | โ Taxed as income | $23,500 / $31,000 (50+) |
| Roth IRA | โ After-tax | โ Tax-free | โ Tax-free | $7,000 / $8,000 (50+) |
| Taxable Brokerage | โ After-tax | โ Annual tax on dividends/gains | โ Capital gains tax | Unlimited |
๐ก The "Receipt Shoebox" Strategy โ The Move Almost Nobody Does
Here's the play that turns your HSA into a turbo-charged retirement account: pay all your medical expenses out of pocket now, keep your receipts, let your HSA grow invested, and reimburse yourself years later. There's no time limit on HSA reimbursements โ the IRS says you can reimburse yourself for any qualified medical expense incurred after the account was opened, as long as you have the receipts. ๐๏ธ
This means: you have a root canal in 2026, pay the $1,200 out of pocket, save the receipt. In 2040, your HSA has compounded for 14 years โ you withdraw $1,200 to "reimburse" yourself, completely tax-free. The money compounded for 14 years, never got taxed, and you now have tax-free cash in retirement. Not a loophole โ entirely by design. As IRS Publication 969 confirms, there is no deadline for submitting medical expense reimbursements from an HSA.
๐ก The Real Estate + HSA Connection
Here's the crossover: if you're a real estate investor or STR operator, you likely have self-employment income or pass-through income. That makes you eligible to open and contribute to your own HSA if you have a qualifying high-deductible health plan (HDHP) โ even without an employer. Sole proprietors, LLCs, S-corps โ all can contribute to an HSA if they're on an HDHP. Your investment income is working. Your HSA should be too. ๐ผ
โ 5-Step HSA Power-User Checklist
| Step | Action |
|---|---|
| 1. | Confirm you have a qualifying High-Deductible Health Plan (HDHP) โ 2026 threshold is a deductible of at least $1,650 for individuals / $3,300 for families. |
| 2. | Open or verify your HSA account. Fidelity, Lively, and HealthEquity are frequently cited as top-rated HSA providers for investment options and low fees. |
| 3. | Max your contribution: $4,300 (individual) or $8,550 (family) for 2026. Add $1,000 if you're 55+. |
| 4. | Invest the balance. Don't leave it in the default cash/savings option. Many HSA plans allow you to invest in index funds once you hit a threshold (usually $500โ$1,000 in the account). |
| 5. | Start a "receipt shoebox" โ digital folder works perfectly. Every qualified medical expense you pay out of pocket goes in here. Future you will thank present you. A lot. ๐๏ธ |
๐๏ธ STR INVESTOR CORNER โ SUMMER SEASON IS OFFICIALLY OPEN
โ๏ธ Memorial Day Is in the Rearview. Your Summer Pricing Window Just Started.
Memorial Day weekend is done. The cookouts are over. And unofficially, the summer rental season just punched in for work. If you have an STR and you haven't already reviewed your June through August pricing, you're already a little behind โ demand for summer bookings starts accelerating the moment Memorial Day clears. ๐
Here's the summer STR playbook by window:
| Period | Dates | Strategy | Min. Stay Rec. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Early Summer Gap ๐ค๏ธ | May 29โJun 14 | Fill the gap between Memorial Day and school-out crush. Weeknight discounts for the "slow start" crowd. Target remote workers with 4โ7 night minimums. | 2โ3 nights |
| School's Out Rush ๐ | Jun 14โJul 3 | School end varies by state but Jun 14โ18 is the peak family booking surge. Rates up 15โ20% above base. Family-friendly listings should emphasize outdoor space now. | 3 nights |
| July 4th Peak ๐ | Jul 2โ6 | Full peak pricing โ 40โ60% above base is normal for top-rated properties. Lock in a 3-night hard minimum. Update photos to summer/outdoor vibes now. | 3 nights minimum |
| Mid-Summer Cruise ๐ | Jul 7โAug 1 | Bread-and-butter summer. Consistent demand; less event spike. Smart operators keep 3-night minimums, let weekly bookings fill naturally. | 3 nights |
| Back-to-School Dip ๐ | Aug 10โ31 | Demand softens mid-August. Drop minimums to 2 nights, offer "last week of summer" messaging, activate gap-fill discounts. Labor Day is your finish line โ price up Sep 4โ7 now. | 2 nights |
Two quick tactical upgrades for the next 30 days:
๐ธ Swap in your summer hero photo now. If your listing thumbnail still shows winter light, bare trees, or indoor shots โ you're losing clicks to competitors who are already leading with pool shots, outdoor furniture, and blue sky. Summer travelers skim thumbnails before they read a single word of your listing. ๐
โญ Review your cleaning fee structure. In the summer season, a per-stay cleaning fee that was reasonable for a 2-night winter visit can feel disproportionate on a 7-night summer stay. Consider whether a partial cleaning credit for longer stays would improve your booking conversion and review sentiment. The math often works out โ 7 nights at $X with slightly less friction beats two 3-night stays with friction. ๐งน
Looking to expand your STR portfolio or refinance into better terms ahead of peak summer cash flow? Our STR loan specialist can walk you through DSCR and short-term rental-specific options here. And if you're thinking about upgrading amenities before July โ hot tub, new outdoor furniture, patio set โ our 0% furnishing and renovation funding partner is worth a look here. ๐
๐ Your Weekend Homework (By Reader Type)
| You Are... | Your One Weekend To-Do |
|---|---|
| ๐ Active Homebuyer | Ask your agent to pull recent FHA and VA sales in your target neighborhood. If there's assumable inventory, find out what balances are remaining and whether gap financing is available from your lender. One assumable listing could change your payment math dramatically. |
| ๐ Refinance Watcher | Circle June 6 (Jobs Report) and June 11 (CPI). Those two prints will likely determine whether a June FOMC cut happens or not โ and whether your refi math starts to improve meaningfully into Q3. |
| ๐ฐ Employed Saver | Log into your benefits portal this weekend and check whether you're on an HDHP. If yes, confirm whether you have an HSA open and whether your balance is being invested (not just sitting in cash). If you haven't opened one or contributed the 2026 max, do it before the tax year closes. |
| ๐๏ธ Real Estate Investor | With new home sales at a three-month low and 9.4 months of builder inventory, now is a serious time to pressure test builder concession offers. Stack a rate buydown against a price reduction and see which one moves your DSCR more. The builder wants to sell before rates move again too. |
| ๐๏ธ STR Operator | Log into your platform today and update your July 4th pricing and minimum nights. Lock in a 3-night minimum for July 2โ6 and price at 40%+ above your summer base. Then swap your thumbnail to a summer outdoor photo if you haven't already. These are 10-minute changes with real revenue impact. โ๏ธ |
| ๐ General Finance Reader | Start a digital "medical receipt folder" today. Literally just make a folder on your phone or Google Drive called "HSA Receipts 2026." Drop any medical expense receipts in there for the rest of the year. You're not doing anything with them today โ but future you will have options that current you is setting up. ๐๏ธ |
๐ This Week's Rate Story (May 25โ29, 2026)
| Day | Rate | Key Driver |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, May 25 ๐บ๐ธ | Markets Closed | Memorial Day โ federal holiday, no trading |
| Tuesday, May 26 | ~6.65% | Post-holiday re-open; Consumer Confidence data; Treasury yields sliding from Memorial Day spike |
| Wednesday, May 27 | ~6.61% | MBA applications -8.5%; Logan, Cook, Jefferson speak; market holds position |
| Thursday, May 28 | 6.59% โฌ๏ธ | PCE soft monthly (+0.4%), GDP revised to 1.6%, jobless claims 215K, new home sales miss |
| Friday, May 29 (Today) | 6.56% โฌ๏ธ | Wholesale inventories soft (+0.5%); 10-yr Treasury at 4.44%; four Fed speakers ahead |
๐ฏ Quick Links โ Get Connected
๐ Primary home purchase or refi โ Match with a lender for your situation
๐๏ธ Investment property loan โ Get connected with an investor loan specialist
๐๏ธ STR / Airbnb loan โ Talk to an STR loan specialist
๐ STR furnishing/renovation funding (0% interest) โ Explore furnishing and renovation financing
๐ Cost segregation study estimate โ Get a cost segregation estimate from our partner
๐ก Heads-up for real estate investors: If you own investment properties and haven't run a cost segregation study, you may be significantly overpaying on taxes โ potentially five figures or more in Year 1 alone. Get a free estimate from our tax partner here.
That's a wrap on the week and on the month of May! ๐ Between the data bonanza, the new Fed chair finding his footing, and rates doing their best impression of a heart monitor, it's been a genuinely interesting stretch. June opens with the Jobs Report on the 6th and CPI on the 11th โ and then the FOMC meeting on the 17thโ18th. That's three weeks that could define the rate trajectory for the back half of the year. โ
Enjoy the first real summer weekend. We'll be back in your inbox Monday, June 1. ๐
โ The Lending Letter Team
๐ฌ Published MondayโSaturday | Next edition: Monday, June 1, 2026
Disclaimer: The Lending Letter is published for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing in this newsletter constitutes financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Mortgage rates are sourced from Mortgage News Daily and are subject to change. Individual rates will vary based on credit score, loan-to-value ratio, property type, and lender. Always consult a licensed mortgage professional, financial advisor, and/or tax advisor before making real estate or financial decisions. Typeform links connect readers with third-party lender partners; The Lending Letter may receive compensation for referrals. Past performance of any financial strategy is not indicative of future results.